![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() There was never any chance for us to actually upgrade the whole set this year. Just enough to get you two grand prizes.Įdit: Assuming the most generous possible interpretation of opening 25 cases at 20% (which no one would have been fortunate enough to do) the possibilities shift to: NOTE: Math assumes general 16% likelihood in opening of 26 cases. Specifically, without spending diamonds the chances of getting: In other words its essentiailly IMPOSSIBLE to upgrade a single Cherry Blossom set. There is a 0.025% chance of getting 5 or more upgrade kits without spending diamonds. There is a 0.132% chance of getting 4 or more upgrade kits without spending diamonds in this event. And yet, believe it or not I'm one of the luckier ones. ![]() I opened 24 of the biggest boxes and 2 of the medium boxes.įrom that I gained 3 upgrades, 1 SOK, and nothing else of note.Įven if you assume an average of 16% chance of an upgrade that's ridiculously low. I'm also reminded of the movie Glengarry Glen Ross: the first prize for best salesman was a new Cadillac. Second Prize is a single unattached Rogue, or a Drummer School, or a random Blueprint, or a single Motivation Kit, or a 50% Coin Boost. First Prize is an Upgrade kit that gives you extra FPs/medals/combat boost/goods every day. The second highest payout, "7 7 7 -" was $8. If you got the big jackpot "7 7 7 7" the payout was about $65,000. I remember playing a slot machine in Las Vegas many years ago. Maybe I'll have be able to complete upgrading both sets next year. If I'm lucky, that'll make a total of 7 kits for two worlds with all quests completed. So 2 or maybe 3 more chances for one more kit. In that second world, I still have ~150 lanterns that I'll spend tomorrow, since I don't need another Gong upgrade in that world. Opening only those chests with the best expected payoff - 16% or higher - I got four kits in one world and two in the other. During the events players are often offered rewards of special buildings - both new and old ones.Done with all the quests in both of my worlds. The poem explores the worldly fate of history and the ravages of time: even the greatest men and the empires they forge are impermanent, their legacies. Most of them are reoccurring but some are marking special happenings. This is a list of special events that have occurred in Forge of Empires. ![]()
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